Updated Week 17 Key Match-Ups With Results

NFL Key Games To Watch For: Week 17 Edition

*Updated with Results 10:34pm MT 12/30/12*

Well I went 6-1 in picking these games with my only miss being in the +Houston Texans at +Indianapolis Colts game. This means Houson slides down to the 3rd seed for the playoffs, Denver takes the #1 seed and New England takes the #2 seed. This will force Houston to play in the Wild Card round next Saturday against the +Cincinnati Bengals. Wild Card round coverage will follow later this week!

Houston at Indianapolis- 1:00pm ET

This game features two teams that have already locked up playoff births, but for Houston this is a very important game. A win means they lock up home field advantage on their path to the Super Bowl. For Indianapolis, this is more of a tune-up game on their way to the playoffs. But the last thing Indianapolis wants to do is to give their division rivals take the #1 AFC seed. For me, this is time for Houston to prove that they are the best team in the AFC and put a beating on Indy on their own field. If not, people are going to continue to question them as the best in the AFC. I still have my questions about this team because they have been wildly inconsistent and have beat some bad teams by narrow margins, and have allowed many teams that shouldn't measure up to them stick around. If Houston can go out and handle Indy, I think they have to be a favorite to reach at least the AFC Championship game.

Prediction: 28-17 Houston Wins. Maintain #1 Seed

Actual: 28-16 Indianapolis Wins. Houston slides to #3 Seed, Indy maintains #5 seed.

Kansas City (2-13) at Denver (12-3)- 4:25pm ET

On paper this game should be a huge blow-out in Denver's favor, and I think it will be. Many things are on the line for Denver though, and that is why it is a key game to watch. With a win for Denver they lock up a first round bye, and if Houston loses in addition to Denver's win the Broncos will be the #1 seed and secure home field advantage through the AFC Championship game. If the Broncos lose, they can still be the #2 seed with a Patriots loss, but if the Patriots win with a Broncos loss, Denver slips to the #3 seed. This could be very bad for them because then they lose the first round bye. If they do win in the first round as the #3 seed, they must be on the road for their next game.

Although I think this will be an easy win for Denver, division games are sometimes very tough to pick. Kansas City has nothing to lose and should be willing to take risks they normally wouldn't. A Peyton Manning led team shouldn't overlook an opponent, but there is also that risk for Denver. Being a Raiders fan, I really want to see Kansas City pull this one off, but I'm not holding my breath.

Prediction: 34-10 Denver Wins. Maintain #2 Seed

Actual: 38-3 Denver Wins. Obtains #1 Seed and home field advantage throughout AFC playoffs

Miami (7-8) at New England(11-4)- 4:25pm ET

This is another game that should be a forgone conclusion, but the NFL has done a good job of scheduling division rivals towards the end of the year so that teams will play for pride. Miami has been surprisingly good at times this year and they should have a shot if they play their game and run the ball well. Especially with the performances that the Patriots have been throwing out there lately. Last week was an embarrassment for the Patriots, as they almost lost to a 2 win team in Jacksonville. The performance sparked Tom Brady, and afterwords he and other veteran leaders scolded the team for the poor performances in the past few weeks.

I think the Patriots will rebound with all that is on the line. With a win they could be anywhere from the #1-3 seed depending on what Houston and Denver do. New England will play motivated and barring a huge performance from Miami I think they will sneak away with a win, especially at home in front of their fans.

Prediction: 24-20 New England Wins. Maintain #3 Seed

Actual: 28-0 New England Wins. Secure #2 seed & 1st round bye.

Green Bay (11-4) at Minnesota (9-6)- 4:25pm ET

Although Green Bay has secured the NFC North, they still have one more thing to accomplish, a first round bye. With a win, they will obtain that as well as home field till the NFC title game. Teams that still remain in the mix for the #2 seed are San Francisco (10-4-1) and Seattle (10-5). Minnesota needs a win or an array of losses coupled with their own to maintain the #6 seed. The easiest way for them to ensure that they remain in it is win. The Bears, Giants, and Cowboys are looking to swoop up that final spot if Minnesota lets it slip through their grasp. 

This game is usually a close one, with many lead changes. Both teams feature high power threats on offense. For Green Bay, they feature one of the top passing attacks in the league. Featuring Aaron Rodgers and his cast of above average receivers, they are very difficult for even the most stout defense to stop. 

For Minnesota, they face a man on a mission to break a record against a bitter rival. Adrian Peterson is 208 yards short of Eric Dickerson's all time record. The Vikings will look to ride him to victory, and give him a chance to make history on the last game of the regular season. Buckle up folks, this one is going to be a fun game to watch. I think Adrian will get the record and keep Aaron Rodgers off the field enough to lead the Vikings to an upset win, and keep Green Bay from getting the first round bye.

Prediction: 24-21 Minnesota Wins. Become #6 Seed Green Bay Becomes #3 Seed

Actual: 37-34 Minnesota Wins. Seeding as above

St. Louis (7-7-1) at Seattle (10-5)- 4:25pm ET

This is a story of two teams heading in very different directions. St. Louis has been somewhat surprising to me that they have won 7 games this season, as they have looked far from a 7 win team at times. While Seattle looks primed to make a run at history this year, simply dismantling the last three teams they have played (including division leading San Francisco.)

This game to me shouldn't even be competitive, but because it has playoff implications it must be included. If Seattle takes care of business and San Francisco loses, Seattle will be crowned NFC West champions. Couple that with a Green Bay loss, and Seattle will be the #2 seed heading into the playoffs. More about that below. 

Prediction: 42-7 Seattle Wins. Become #5 Seed

Actual: 20-13 Seattle Wins. Become #5 Seed

Arizona (5-10) at San Francisco (10-4-1)- 4:25pm ET

Another matchup featuring a heavy favorite in San Francisco. This is another game that I think will just purely be one-sided. Arizona has looked pathetic after winning their first 4 to start the season. Besides one good showing against Detroit, this team has been dead on arrival for most of their 11 contests after that 4-0 start. 

San Francisco has looked anything from awful to unbeatable since making the move at QB to put in rookie Colin Kaepernick after Alex Smith sustained a concussion. They have been wildly inconsistent under the rookie signal caller, but it shouldn't be much of a stretch to think that they can handle this visiting Cardinals team. I won't spend much time here because I don't believe that this should be much of a game. 

Prediction: 35-10 San Francisco Wins. Become #2 Seed

Actual: 27-13 San Francisco Wins. Become #2 Seed

Dallas (8-7) at Washington (9-6)- 8:20pm ET

Dallas at Washington could be a game that we talk about for years if the winner does anything special in the playoffs, and I would call this the Game of the Week. It's going to be on prime time television for Sunday Night Football, and they couldn't have picked a better match-up to feature. 

These two teams have been bitter rivals for what seems like ages, and this game should come down to the wire. During their last meeting on Thanksgiving, Washington ran away with the game until the very end when Dallas made a desperate comeback that fell short. Robert Griffin III will be healthy and it should be another high scoring shootout. This is a winner-takes-all game, as the winner will advance to the playoffs and the loser goes home for the long offseason. 

As a fan, I would love to see Washington win this game and head to the playoffs. They have a solid young core of exciting players in RGIII and Alfred Morris, I don't think they have a good enough team to make a solid playoff run, but they are exciting and stay in most games. I also like seeing new blood in the playoffs, and the Skins haven't gone in a while. Plus, it's never bad seeing the Dallas Cowboys lose. 

Prediction: 27-21 Washington Wins. Secures #4 Seed

Actual: 28-18 Washington Wins. Secures #4 Seed